The current state of the Republican Party is absolute chaos. This disruption is due to the current delegate leader for the 2016 Republican President nominee, Donald Trump. Trump is leading and, if you listen to him, will be nominated, but that is far from decided, especially given that the support from his own party is iffy at best. Let’s look at 10 reasons Donald Trump will not get the Republican Nomination.
Trump’s run for president is focused on utilizing social media and “shooting from the hip.” The former has been genius, and the latter has gotten him into some trouble. No one has leveraged the media more than Trump, but that comes with a cost when he says something controversial, conflicting with a previous statement or just plain stupid. Often he deflects the negative energy with “I was just quoting someone else” or “I was misquoted,” but eventually something has to give, right? Maybe not! Trump is an expert debater and knows how to tweak a subject just enough to get off topic, but not too far.
Just missing our list is the number of bankruptcies he’s suffered and how that should impact his election. A problem with this argument, on either side, is that it’s subjective. You can make the case Trump is a failure at business, but then he can show his bank balance and show you that in fact he’s a very smart business man. Of course, as with most things subjective, the truth is probably somewhere in between.
Let’s get to the list, where we discuss Trump’s big mouth, his hats and of course, his hands. Here are 10 reasons Donald Trump Isn’t Getting the Republican Nomination.
10. His Social Media Use
Since day one of throwing his hat in the race, Donald Trump has not held back on anything. Using social media as his primary tool, Trump tweets many times a day his “Make America Great Again” message, quick notes on groups he doesn’t like and insults at anyone competing (or who doesn’t say something nice about him). The problem is that he has become a social media bully, saying whatever he wants to millions of followers without considering the ramifications. What happens if Twitter decides enough is enough? What if enough rise up and overpower Trump, essentially forcing him to no longer use the platform? Neither has happened yet, but it can’t be ruled out in the future.
9. Not Enough Delegates
This one is pretty simple, but also very complicated. The understanding is that Trump needs to get to 1,237 (approximate) delegates and will then be given the automatic nomination. However, he may just fall short. Also, did you know the number of delegates needed could change? In fact, the number used is decided just days before the Republican Convention. If the leaders of the party want to stick it to Trump they could raise the count even higher. Another problem is something called super delegates, these are additional votes not counted until the convention. This is definitely a case of “fuzzy math” at play and it may be the biggest problem Mr. Trump has to overcome.
8. Republicans Don’t Want Him
His own party no longer wants him to win. Fingers really should be pointed in both directions here. First, I don’t believe anyone can just run under the Republican label, the party accepted Trump. Apparently no one understood what having Donald Trump representing the Republican Party meant. No one cared what Trump was saying, until he started winning. Then the party quickly turned to “we don’t support what he is saying,” which, although it may be true, makes them look foolish for allowing in the first place. Regardless, it’s not a good sign when the party you are running for is trying to distance themselves from you.
7. The Clintons
Remember when the question of whether or not Trump once gave money to Hillary Clinton mattered? We have moved on to much more pressing concerns, but there is definitely a connection here that is important. Hillary probably doesn’t like Trump, but then again, politically she might. However, Bill Clinton does not like Trump and this is not an enemy you want. Bill is a political monster that knows how to get things done and do it without the public being any wiser. Should the Clintons decide they don’t want Trump to get the nomination they could put moves in place to hurt his chances. It’s what they do, it’s why they win.
6. His Hands
Here’s how I see this one going down. During the next debate the moderator asks Ted Cruz if there is anything he would like to ask Donald Trump. He responds by producing a pair of men’s gloves, size large. “I would like Mr. Trump to show us how big his hands really are.” Quickly the gloves are moved over to Trump’s podium where he shrugs and then proceeds to put them on, but wait, what is happening? His fingers barely make it past the knuckle line on the gloves. The gloves do not fit, they are too big. This is also known as the reverse O.J.
5. He’s Full of S***
Trump has made a living being confident and branding his name as the greatest thing since sliced bread. As he continues to pile on the statements concerning what he plans to do without any way to make it happen (besides saying “it will get done”) more will grow skeptical, I think. Let’s say the “B.S.” needle swings too far to the right for just 10 percent, that’s significant enough to lose the top spot. In Trump’s defense, the words “he will build a wall and Mexico will pay for the wall” is an incredible statement that should have pushed the needle into the red and hasn’t, so who knows…
4. Joke Is On Us
I mean, the cameras are already there. Honestly, this is the winning move. Any day now Trump should schedule a major press conference and reveal that he is removing himself from the race. Instead, he has been shooting a reality show and all the behind the scenes footage will be on NBC this fall. He also gets the “I could have been President” speech given he is actually leading in the polls. There will likely be a time when Trump looks back and realizes he wishes he pulled the plug while still on top. It’s the perfect time, even if elected President, from popularity and polarizing figure it can’t get bigger than this moment.
3. He’s Not Politically Correct
Pushing the line is one thing, but Trump doesn’t always think about the consequences of what he is saying. How many Sundays is he going to spend explaining his insults to the media? Trump attacks full races of people, even proposing to ban them. Gender, specifically women, has been a huge topic for the billionaire as well. You don’t sound very presidential when you call women names just because they don’t agree with your views. Regarding sexuality, well, I can only imagine, as no topic is off the table when there’s a podium in front of The Donald. At some point he could face legal questioning or the groups he has offended will eventually outnumber his supporters.
2. No More “Make America Great Again” Hats
Trump is a branding machine, placing his name and catch phrase “Make America Great Again” anywhere he can. His most popular piece of merchandise is the red baseball cap with this slogan. Trump has been seen wearing it often and many of his supporters have taken to them as well. What if the company making the hats goes bankrupt, or what if the workers get offended and refuse to produce anymore Make America Great Again hats? This could be the first sign of trouble and if his supporters can’t find a hat they may decide to put on their “CRU-ZIN” or “KA$ICK” lids.
1. Threat Of An “Incident”
Trump has enemies and has created a divide. His supporters are passionate, but so are his detractors. What if there is an actual assault on the candidate, or worse, someone could permanently remove him from the race. That’s not anything we want to see and is not the democratic way. Still, you wonder how many groups one man can anger. Trump even takes shots at foreign leaders – do we want a leader that continues to poke fun at groups that don’t support him or take shots at the leader of Russia? Trump claims he’s very good at uniting people. At this point, this needs to be his number one priority…
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